May 29, 2007

Umaru Yar'Adua has been sworn in as Nigeria's new president.

The inauguration of Mr Yar'Adua marks the first time in Nigeria's history that one civilian leader has taken over from another but the election in April was described by local and foreign observers as "not credible". Opposition activists have promised to go ahead with demonstrations in Lagos despite a ban on protests.

Mr. Yar'Adua's leadership makes little difference in Nigeria's politics and economy. His presidency is viewed with suspicion because of the deeply flawed elections, and the majority of Nigerians see him as an illegitimate leader. The fractious nation is increasingly becoming unraveled, and I fear that there will soon be widespread violence. Beneath the "civilian" veneer there lurks military machinations and regional and tribal fissures.

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